Genial Research/Quaest shows president ahead in all scenarios, with eight points advantage in the second round
Lula leads with 40% in the first round and beat Bolsonaro by 45% to 37% in the 2nd
- Center-left2
- Center1
- Center-right1
2 agency rewrites / co-publications detected
Summary
The confidence level of estimates is 95%, and the maximum expected error margin is about 2 percentage points, for more or less. In the poll conducted in May, the current president appeared with 42%, while the congressman of the PL had 41%, a situation that represented a tie within the margin of error Quaest heard 2,04 voters aged 16 years or older through personal, home and face-to-face interviews from July 10-13. Government evaluation The negative evaluation of the Lula government was equal to positive, being 36%.
Furthermore, Lula then appears, with a general rejection of 50%. Regarding the Genial/Quaest survey of June, the PT oscillated 1 point upwards and the senator retreated 1 point. Genius/Quaest: Lula stands 8 points front of Fl vio Bolsonaro and would win 2 shift by 45% to 37%.
In addition, The positive index is the highest in the historical series started in July 2025, and the negative is the lowest.
Cross-referenced from 4 sources.
Factual coreconfirmed by several independent voices
The confidence level of estimates is 95%, and the maximum expected error margin is about 2 percentage points, for more or less.
reliability moderate2/4 sourcesIn the poll conducted in May, the current president appeared with 42%, while the congressman of the PL had 41%, a situation that represented a tie within the margin of error Quaest heard 2,04 voters aged 16 years or older through personal, home and face-to-face interviews from July 10-13.
reliability low1/3 sourcesGovernment evaluation The negative evaluation of the Lula government was equal to positive, being 36%.
reliability low1/3 sources
Reported detailssecondary facts, each attributed to its source
Lula then appears, with a general rejection of 50%.
according to VejaRegarding the Genial/Quaest survey of June, the PT oscillated 1 point upwards and the senator retreated 1 point.
according to VejaGenius/Quaest: Lula stands 8 points front of Fl vio Bolsonaro and would win 2 shift by 45% to 37%.
according to Folha de S.Paulo — Em Cima da Hora +1The positive index is the highest in the historical series started in July 2025, and the negative is the lowest.
according to Folha de S.Paulo — Em Cima da Hora +1
Disputedincompatible versions — to verify
No factual contradiction detected between sources.
Framing by sidesame fact, different words — loaded terms highlighted
No notable framing divergence.
Blind spotwhat one side keeps silent
President — National — 1st turn (single scenario) Lula (PT): 40% (was 39% in June) Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 28% (was 29%) Ronaldo Caiado..
omitted byLeft sidecovered byCenterRight sideIn the poll conducted in May, the current president appeared with 42%, while the congressman of the PL had 41%, a situation that configured a..
omitted byRight sidecovered byLeft sideCenterGovernment evaluation The negative evaluation of the Lula government was equal to positive, being 36%.
omitted byRight sidecovered byLeft sideCenter
Sources4 sources cross-checked
Center1
Center-right1
