
Lula has 43% before 40% of Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round, says Quaest
- Center-left2
- Center6
- Center-right1
2 agency rewrites / co-publications detected
Summary
In the previous research, published on August 5, president scored 44% against 39% of the senator in possible scenario The Quaest survey heard 2,04 people between 10 and 13 August; in the image, President Lula (esq.) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (dir.) Jose Cruz/Agenzia Brasil and Sergio Lima/Power360 POWER360 14. ago.2026 (Friday) - 18h10 Research Quaest released on Friday (14.ago.2026) shows that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) has 43% of the voting intentions in a possible 2nd round against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ), which scores 40%. The margin of error is two percentage points, for more or less, with a confidence level of 95%. Watch the last episode (1h7min): advertising.
Furthermore, The withdrawals were ordered from Quaest and Datafolha to inform, round by round, how is the election run. In electoral years, only studies that have registered in the Electoral Justice and known complete methodology are published. The main opponent, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), oscillated positively to 31% and shortened the distance between both in relation to the previous research, of August 5.
In addition, In the previous week round of the same institute, the president had 44% against 39% of the senator – a numerical advantage of 5 percentage points and of 1 point, considered the margin of error. It is not possible to make direct comparisons with the Genial/Quaest survey published last week, since the names tested were different. Lula's advantage, which was 9 percentage points in July, is now 7 points.
Moreover, The new survey captured the voting intentions on the eve of the official beginning of the election campaign, which begins on Sunday (16).
Cross-referenced from 6 sources.
Factual coreconfirmed by several independent voices
In the previous research, published on August 5, president scored 44% against 39% of the senator in possible scenario The Quaest survey heard 2,04 people between 10 and 13 August; in the image, President Lula (esq.) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (dir.) Jose Cruz/Agenzia Brasil and Sergio Lima/Power360 POWER360 14. ago.2026 (Friday) - 18h10 Research Quaest released on Friday (14.ago.2026) shows that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) has 43% of the voting intentions in a possible 2nd round against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ), which scores 40%.
reliability high4/6 sourcesThe margin of error is two percentage points, for more or less, with a confidence level of 95%.
reliability moderate3/5 sources
Reported detailssecondary facts, each attributed to its source
Watch the last episode (1h7min): advertising
according to Poder360The withdrawals were ordered from Quaest and Datafolha to inform, round by round, how is the election run.
according to G1In electoral years, only studies that have registered in the Electoral Justice and known complete methodology are published.
according to Poder360The main opponent, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), oscillated positively to 31% and shortened the distance between both in relation to the previous research, of August 5.
according to MetrópolesIn the previous week round of the same institute, the president had 44% against 39% of the senator – a numerical advantage of 5 percentage points and of 1 point, considered the margin of error.
according to VejaIt is not possible to make direct comparisons with the Genial/Quaest survey published last week, since the names tested were different.
according to VejaLula's advantage, which was 9 percentage points in July, is now 7 points.
according to MetrópolesThe new survey captured the voting intentions on the eve of the official beginning of the election campaign, which begins on Sunday (16).
according to Folha de S.Paulo — Em Cima da Hora +1Those who wish to vote blank, annul or would not vote up to 8%.
according to Folha de S.Paulo — Em Cima da Hora +1
Disputedincompatible versions — to verify
No factual contradiction detected between sources.
Framing by sidesame fact, different words — loaded terms highlighted
No notable framing divergence.
Blind spotwhat one side keeps silent
No blind spot detected: every side covers the same facts.
Sources9 sources cross-checked
Center-right1

%2Fhttps%3A%2F%2Fi.s3.glbimg.com%2Fv1%2FAUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a%2Finternal_photos%2Fbs%2F2026%2Fb%2Fl%2FRCfigcR2G30WNMm2SSRA%2Fmontagens-1920-x-1080-px-41-.png&w=640)
%2Fhttps%3A%2F%2Fi.s3.glbimg.com%2Fv1%2FAUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a%2Finternal_photos%2Fbs%2F2026%2FJ%2F4%2FBcgRUOQf2IqRglMxBqPA%2Fmontagem-horizontal-1280x720px-2-.jpg&w=640)

